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What are Uganda’s chances of making it to AFCON?

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Uganda Cranes have had a sloppy start in their 2023 TotalEnergies Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers as they currently sit bottom of group F midway the qualifiers.

They have just a single point to show in three games, having lost away to Algeria (2-0), drawn at home to Niger (1-1) before losing to Tanzania (1-0) at home in Egypt.

Their is only one qualification slot left to fight for in group F as Algeria have already secured their slot at next year’s final with two games to spare. The North Africans have a maximum 12 points in four game having beaten Uganda, Tanzania and Niger (twice)

Tanzania has four points while Niger has two points in their bag in four games.

In order to secure their eighth AFCON finals appearance, the remaining games for Uganda are all crucial.

The Cranes have to beat Tanzania at the Benjamin Mkapa Stadium in Tanzania on Tuesday evening before also beating Algeria (who are unbeaten) and Niger in June and September respectively.

In terms of the head to head, Uganda have met Tanzania 60 times with the Cranes 32 times but the last two clashes have ended in Tanzania’s victory.

Uganda and Niger have met seven times in all competitions with each winning three games each. The last encounter though ended in a 1-all draw in Kampala.

Uganda’s record against Algeria is not bad either as they have three victories in the last 12 games.

It’s also worthy noting that In 1974, Uganda beat Algeria 3-2 on aggregate to qualify for the finals.

Even if Uganda secures maximum nine points in their last three games, the mathematics doesn’t stop there as they will also need to pray for a positive results in the other remaining group games for both Niger and Tanzania.

Group F

Algeria 12 points
Tanzania. 4 points
Niger. 2 points
Uganda. 1 point

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